Monthly Archive 2025年3月15日

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Golf insider reveals best bets, sleepers, favorite to avoid

After a three week break, LIV Golf is back in action for two consecutive weeks of play beginning in Hong Kong. After a longshot won the season opener in Saudi Arabia (Adrian Meronk, +10000), Joaquin Niemann captured the title in Adelaide at +900 odds. Hong Kong Golf Club hosts this week’s event for the second straight season and plays at only 6,700 yards, with water in play on half of the holes. The course should see plenty of birdies and favor those long hitters who will have short irons into the greens. Abraham Ancer beat Paul Casey and Cameron Smith in a playoff last season and looks to defend his title this week. The 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong first round will begin on Thursday at 11:15 p.m. ET.

Jon Rahm, who has never finished outside the top-10 in a LIV Golf event that he has completed, is the favorite at +550 odds, followed by Niemann (+750), Tyrrell Hatton (+800), Bryson DeChambeau (+900), and Smith (+1600). Rahm is -200 (risk $200 to win $100) to finish inside the top 10 and +115 (risk $100 to win $115) to crack the top five. Ancer is +2000 (risk $100 to win $2,000) to repeat as champion. Before locking in your 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong picks, be sure to see the predictions and best bets from golf insider Eric Cohen.

Cohen is an avid golf bettor who correctly predicted the pre-tournament outright winners of the first two LIV Golf events in 2024, Joaquin Niemann at Mayakoba and Dustin Johnson in Las Vegas, as well as Sergio Garcia at Andalucia last July. He also accurately predicted Bryson DeChambeau’s victory at the 2024 U.S. Open at +2000 odds. Eric is a contributor to SportsLine’s YouTube shows including “Early Edge” and is the host of “The Early Wedge Best Bets” golf show on Tuesday nights.

Now, Cohen has set his sights on the 2025 LIV Golf Adelaide field and just revealed his top prop bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see Cohen’s 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong picks, sleepers, and favorite to avoid.

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Top 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong picks
One surprise: Cohen is fading Sergio Garcia, who’s one of the top players on the board at +2000 odds. To date, Garcia has only one LIV victory since joining the circuit in 2022. The victory came in his native Spain, far from where the pros will be playing in Asia this week. Garcia is capable of high finishes, with a T6 at LIV Golf Riyadh as his best result of the opening two events this season.

The Spaniard has been excellent off the tee, having gained strokes on the field in every LIV event dating back to late 2022. But his all-important approach game has been inconsistent, having lost a combined 1.3 strokes in the first two 2025 events combined. Cohen doesn’t believe the value is right to play Garcia at such short odds and recommends two outrights he thinks would be better bets. See who to back at SportsLine.

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Get more 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong picks, sleepers
Cohen has also locked in a slew of other bets for LIV Golf Hong Kong 2025 and also identified two golfers who you should play in top 10 markets. You can only see his LIV Golf Hong Kong best bets at SportsLine.

So what 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong prop picks should you target, and which longshots have a chance to finish near the top of the leaderboard? Visit SportsLine to see Cohen’s 2025 LIV Golf Hong Kong best bets, all from the expert who called three LIV victories last season, and find out.

LIV Golf Hong Kong 2025 odds, field
See full LIV Golf Hong Kong picks, best bets and predictions here.

Jon Rahm +550
Joaquin Niemann +750
Tyrrell Hatton +800
Bryson DeChambeau +900
Cameron Smith +1600
Sergio Garcia +2000
David Puig +2000
Abraham Ancer +2000
Brooks Koepka +2000
Dean Burmester +2500
Paul Casey +2800
Marc Leishman +2800
Tom McKibbin +3000
Richard Bland +3000
Patrick Reed +3000
Carlos Ortiz +3000
Lucas Herbert +3000
Cameron Tringale +4000
Sebastian Munoz +4000
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
Anirban Lahiri +4000
Adrian Meronk +4500
Ben Campbell +5000
Talor Gooch +6000
Peter Uihlein +6000
Thomas Pieters +7000
Harold Varner III +7000
Sam Horsfield +8000
Charl Schwartzel +8000
Caleb Surratt +8000
Dustin Johnson +8000
Matthew Wolff +10000
Kevin Na +10000
Jason Kokrak +10000
Charles Howell III +10000
Henrik Stenson +10000
Branden Grace +10000
Brendan Steele +12000
Yubin Jang +12000
Ian Poulter +15000
Graeme McDowell +15000
Max Lee +20000
Matt Jones +20000
Bubba Watson +20000
Wade Ormsby +20000
Luis Masaveu +25000
Frederik Kjettrup +30000
Andy Ogletree +30000
Mito Pereira +30000
Martin Kaymer +30000
Lee Westwood +30000
Phil Mickelson +50000
Danny Lee +50000
Anthony Kim +100000

Where to bet on LIV Golf
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on LIV Golf, along with the various sportsbook promos they currently offer.

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 Wyndham Clark leads over Shane Lowry, Rory McIlroy

A major championship test has produced a major championship leaderboard through the first round of the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational. On a day when the scoring average at Bay Hill Club & Lodge was roughly 74.50, it was last year’s runner-up Wyndham Clark who seized control of the tournament with an opening 5-under 67 to command a two-stroke lead over Shane Lowry and Keegan Bradley, among others.

“I don’t know if I figured it out. I definitely feel a little more comfortable on it,” Clark said of Bay Hill. “I don’t know, I just think there’s a lot of water, there’s a lot of trouble out here, and I think I’ve just gotten more comfortable with some of those tee shots. Maybe a little more conservative on some holes, maybe a little more aggressive on others.

“Then just I think thinking my way around the course better. I think in the past sometimes I would get out of position and I would try to make up for it and then I make a big number,” he said. “I’ve just kind of learned to maybe put it back in play and just maybe make your par or bogey and not try to get those big numbers. So that’s maybe been it. It’s nice to put some good numbers on this golf course and, you know, if anything it’s really good momentum for the rest of the week.”

Clark was the beneficiary of calmer — albeit still difficult — conditions Thursday afternoon as the scoring average among the later wave proved to be about 1.50 strokes lower than those who teed off in the morning. Clark raced to the top of the leaderboard late thanks to birdies on Nos. 16 and 18 to skirt past his fellow pros Lowry and Rory McIlroy, who signed for a 70 of his own.

In the early hours it was U.S. Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley who navigated the treachery with the highest level of effectiveness. Trading four birdies against just one bogey, the American sits in prime position to win the second signature event of his career and his fourth PGA Tour title since Fall 2022.

He isn’t the only major champion to be lurking in the shadows, however. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler looks sharper by the round and signed for a 71 to put him alongside his Ryder Cup teammates Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay.

The leader

  1. Wyndham Clark (-5)

It was around this time last season when Clark caught fire. Finishing runner-up to Scheffler at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Players Championship in back-to-back weeks, the former U.S. Open champion looks keen on avenging at least one of those close calls. Even without his normal caddie on his bag, Clark methodically picked apart Bay Hill.

The three-time winner ranked first in strokes gained tee to green, first in greens in regulation — thanks partly to hitting all nine on the inward half — and played his final 15 holes bogey-free. If he keeps his golf ball in play these next 54 holes, he has the game to keep his name atop the leaderboard.

“It’s unfortunate,” Clark said of his close calls last season. “I had a few tournaments last year that if Scottie wasn’t in the field I would have won. But that happens, and I was really pleased with my finishes. Maybe can I get some redemption in these next few weeks and hopefully Scottie’s not up there (laughing).”

Other contenders
T2. Shane Lowry, Keegan Bradley, Corey Conners, Christiaan Bezuidenhout (-3)
T6. Rory McIlroy, Max Greyserman, Si Woo Kim, Cam Davis, Justin Rose (-2)
T11. Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay (-1)

The stars are lining up behind Clark. Bradley, Scheffler and Morikawa were among the notables to get the job done during the more difficult morning wave, while Cantlay, Lowry and McIlroy made the most of their opportunities during the later hours of the day. It is the latter group that will once again receive some reprieve from the difficulties given the quick turnaround and light winds forecasted for Friday morning.

That is good news for all of them, but especially for someone like McIlroy, who hit his irons beautifully on Thursday. The four-time major champion got as low as 3 under before some missteps coming home. He ranked third in strokes gained approach and has room to improve with the driver, hitting just 6 of 14 fairways.

“I think it demands good ball striking,” McIlroy said. “You have to really control, especially today, control your flight and distance very well with your irons. That’s something that I’ve been working on quite a lot and feel like I’m pretty good at that. I think that’s the big thing. It’s not ‘There’s not a ton of drivers out there, you can get away with being a little more conservative off the tee.’ But it’s a great second-shot golf course, and I feel like that’s why I’ve excelled here.”

Xander Schauffele’s return
The two-time major champion teed it up on the PGA Tour for the first time since the first week of the year, and rust was more than apparent. Schauffele started decently playing his first five holes in 1-over par fashion, but it was the stretch of holes around the turn which ultimately were his undoing.

Schauffele signed for five straight bogeys from Nos. 6-10 to go from 1 over to 6 over. Schauffele clawed back to 5 over thanks to his only birdie of the afternoon on the par-5 16th — the easiest hole on the golf course — but he still has work to do if he is to see the weekend. The world No. 3 entered the week with the longest made-cut streak on the PGA Tour (57) since Tiger Woods’ 142 in a row.

“Yeah … got my ass kicked (smiling). It’s a tough place to come back to, not going to lie,” Schauffele said. “Palm Springs would have been nice, something like that, that would have been a little bit easier — miss a couple, get a way with it. I knew I was going to come in on short notice to what is sort of like a major championship setup around the greens, and with the greens being crusty, I really felt it there more than anything else.”

Another amateur to watch
One week after amateur Luke Clanton secured his PGA Tour card via the PGA Tour University accelerated program, another amateur is trying his case at accomplishing the very same. Auburn’s Jackson Koivun came into the week with 18 points in the program and two shy of the required threshold to secure full-time status on the PGA Tour. Koivun fired an opening 72 on Thursday and could reach that magic number of 20 this weekend if he is to make the cut and finish inside the top 10.

“I feel like my game is definitely ready, I can come out here and compete,” Koivun said. “I think just adjusting and maturing mentally a little bit, with all the travel and just the life-style of the PGA Tour, I could use a couple more years at college.”

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational updated odds and picks
Odds via DraftKings Sportsboook

Scottie Scheffler: 3-1
Rory McIlroy: 4-1
Wyndham Clark: 7-1
Shane Lowry: 12-1
Keegan Bradley: 14-1
Collin Morikawa: 14-1
Justin Thomas: 16-1
Patrick Cantlay: 18-1
Ludvig Åbeg: 18-1
Pick your poison. I was a big believer in Lowry and Cantlay at the onset of the week, and that sentiment remains true. Both players struck their irons beautifully, rolled the rock with conviction and still have areas where they can pick up strokes. If not those two (or the big two atop the odds board), Rose may be the man at 60-1 and only a few off the early pace.

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Tiger Woods will not play 2025 Players Championship in final year of automatic eligibility

Tiger Woods has chosen not play in the PGA Tour’s flagship event, The Players Championship. The 15-time major champion’s name was absent from the commitment list when the Friday deadline passed ahead of next week’s event at TPC Sawgrass.

The 2025 playing of The Players marked the last year of Woods’ automatic eligibility stemming from his victory at the 2019 Masters. Woods is now expected to enter next month’s Masters without a competitive tournament under his belt this calendar year.

Tiger had originally committed to play in the 2025 Genesis Invitational — the tournament he hosts annually — at Torrey Pines but ultimately withdrew three days later citing he was not ready to return to golf following the passing of his mother, Kultida.

Woods did join the CBS Sports broadcast that Sunday before presenting tournament winner Ludvig Åberg with the Genesis Invitational trophy following his rousing victory.

While Woods has not competed on the PGA Tour since the final major championship of last season, he has been in the spotlight thanks to his simulator golf league, TGL. The 49-year-old’s Jupiter Links Golf Club was eliminated from playoff contention earlier this week. Tiger did not miss any of his planned TGL starts.

“This is the third time I’ve touched a club since my mom passed,” Woods said at his last TGL outing. “My heart’s not really into practicing right now. … Once I start probably feeling a bit better and getting into it, I’ll look into the [PGA Tour] schedule.”

While not teeing it up for the PGA Tour, Woods has nevertheless been hard at work for the organization outside the ropes. The 82-time event winner recently traveled to the White House to participate in a four-hour working session between PGA Tour leadership and Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund as the parties continue to seek a deal in hopes of unifying the game.

If Woods had entered the field at TPC Sawgrass, it would have represented his first competitive non-major or non-Genesis Invitational outing since the 2020 Zozo Championship where he served as the defending champion. Since then, Woods has played in 11 PGA Tour events missing four cuts, withdrawing three times and failing to finish inside the top 30 in any of them.

In order for Woods to qualify for a future edition of The Players, he will either need to win a PGA Tour event, enter the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings or place among the top 70 players in the 2025 FedEx Cup.